CHKON - Dinar Vets

This is only my opinion based on my limited time in the ME, but interest in the area especially since my investment.

I believe that the recent bombings targeting Iraq's government are Iran and Al Qaeda's continued efforts to destabilize Iraq's fledgling government. It is in their mutual best interest for continued chaos and lack of improvement. The last thing Iran wants is for their hated former opponent to become prosperous, regionally powerful or influential, and definitely NOT a US sponsored democracy.

By keeping Iraq's progress continually challenged, they gain time for themselves and hamper the west's (mostly US) goals for the region. Iran has their own agenda obviously, but Al Qaeda's aims are certainly much the same in the way of their opposition to western involvement in the middle east.

That being said, as I posted in chat earlier, the RV and continued progress in Iraq rejoining the international community is going to happen, and it actually will help them with their security situation over time.
The analogy I used earlier was the intercepted communiques from Zarqawi to the AQ leadership in 2004-2005 bemoaning the fact that it was becoming more difficult and more expensive for his organization to recruit locals to place IEDs. In 2003 he could buy that help for $50 US, by 2005, it was costing him thousands and people were more reluctant to participate as they started.

Iraqi people have become accustomed to seeing the infrastructure improving, schools filling, cell phones, electronics and all the other market items they are getting access to come into their lives. They are increasingly hungry for more of the things that many of the rest of the world take for granted. When your expectations are raised, (kinda like ours are with our investment) you are eager to see things continue to improve and not likely to contribute to a reversal of the trend unless you are a committed ideologue.

If Iraq has a strengthened economy, it will certainly be more difficult to recruit people, not impossible, but more difficult, and three disparate groups (sunni, shia, and Kurds, oh ****, throw the Chaldeans in too) will have more national identity and interest in seeing this country congeal into a more solid entity with a VERY bright future.
Funding for terror will never dry up, and Iran certainly will make every effort to continue being a pain in the ***, as well as Al Qaeda, but all things that we are seeing develop in Iraq point to an RV in the near future. My intuition is that a strengthened economy within Iraq and their elevation in the world community will do alot to help with their security situation.

This is only my opinion folks, so hold the napalm and cluster bomb units, but feel free to disagree. Notice I did NOT give a rate or a date....lol seeing tangible progress in the society around them.